Real Madrid returns home to the Bernabeu with confirmed injury boosts ahead of this match, while Oviedo's relegation could already be sealed before kickoff — meaning they'll be playing with zero urgency or pressure. Even in a season where pride is the only prize, Real Madrid's talent advantage at home against a dead-rubber Oviedo side at -1.5 is a gift. Chalk never sleeps on home favorites against relegated opponents.

Real Madrid is decimated — Mbappe, Valverde, Militao, Rodrygo, Mendy, Carvajal, and Guler are all sidelined or doubtful, and the title has already been handed to Barca, gutting their motivation. Oviedo is desperate, scrapping for survival with their La Liga lives on the line — that kind of fire is worth at least 1.5 goals on any given night. Everyone's sleeping on the minnows, but a distracted, injury-ravaged Real Madrid is exactly the kind of spot where underdogs bite back!