Cruzeiro is riding legitimate momentum — back-to-back 2-1 wins over Chapecoense and Grêmio followed by a gutsy 1-1 draw at Palmeiras — and they're opening extra stadium sections due to high home demand, meaning the Mineirão crowd will be a genuine factor. Fluminense is 3rd in the table but laying -0.5 on the road against a team in strong form at a fortress venue is a tough ask, especially with no injury edge for the visitors. The line is essentially a coin flip, and the home form tilt makes Cruzeiro the sharper side at -110.