Boston's Jon Gray is a dominant 9-1 with a 2.95 ERA on the mound, facing Carlos Rodón who sits at 4-2 with a 3.70 ERA — a meaningful edge on the hill at Fenway. The Red Sox just won Saturday's game 4-1, demonstrating clear momentum in this series, while the Yankees are dealing with Stanton (IL), Grisham (IL), and Ryan McMahon (IL), thinning their lineup considerably. At -204 on the run line home price, the Red Sox's pitching edge and Yankee injury attrition make Boston the sharpest play on today's slate.