Colombia enters this World Cup quarterfinal without striker Jhon Córdoba (confirmed injured), a significant blow to their attacking depth, while Switzerland's questionable trio (Manzambi, Vargas, Sow) still trained and are not confirmed out. Switzerland at -144 is steep, but backing them via the -0.5 spread at home price gives us a cleaner value play on a Colombian side that is structurally depleted up front. The injury asymmetry and Colombia's reliance on Luis Díaz as the lone elite attacker makes Switzerland the methodical lean here.