Miami is locked in at home as a -201 favorite while buying run insurance on the 1.5 spread — a number that's juiced in the Marlins' favor given Seattle's bullpen depth is compromised with Matt Brash (lat) on the IL and multiple other arms unavailable. Miami has gone nuclear at the plate, slugging 18 home runs over their last 10 games, making loanDepot park a dangerous environment for a Mariners squad that can't count on its best relievers. The Marlins' own injury list is backend-heavy (Bender, Nardi) and shouldn't impact the starter, giving Miami a clean matchup edge the line may be slightly underpricing on the runline.