The Athletics are walking wounded — Rooker, Soderstrom, Severino, and multiple relievers all on the IL — while Detroit has slugged 18 home runs over their last 10 games. Oakland's bullpen has surrendered runs at a 6.52 ERA clip over that same stretch, making them a prime target for a Tigers offense that's rolling at home. Talent and health both point to Detroit covering the -1.5 at Comerica.

The Athletics are catching a break with Detroit missing Justin Verlander (60-day IL) and reliever Bailey Horn, gutting the Tigers' pitching depth — and getting +1.5 runs on the road is a gift. Yes, Oakland is without Soderstrom and Rooker, but a beat-up A's squad against a shorthanded Tigers rotation is exactly the kind of chaotic spot where the underdog thrives. Nobody counts them out louder than I do — so let's ride the A's to cover!

Detroit is the hottest team in the AL, going 19-12 since June 1st, and they're hosting an Athletics squad that simply can't match up. The Tigers at +123 on the -1.5 runline is exceptional value — you're being paid to take the better, hotter team covering at home. The Athletics' road struggles against a surging Detroit lineup make this the sharpest number on today's board.