Everyone's sleeping on the Nationals at home, but Zack Littell's 'sub-3.00 ERA' numbers are smoke and mirrors — his last couple starts show a guy who's been shaky, including surrendering four early runs against Pittsburgh. Ryan Weathers and the Nats are playing on their home turf, and the Yankees are the kind of favorite that trips over their own hype. Give me the scrappy Nationals +1.5 all day — chalk is for losers!