Mirassol owns a perfect 3-0 all-time record against Grêmio, including wins home AND away in 2025, and they're playing with maximum desperation sitting 19th in the relegation zone — a lethal motivational edge. Grêmio has zero away wins all season and only five away goals, making them an ideal fading candidate despite being priced as the favorite at -125. Getting Mirassol at -105 on the home side against a winless-on-the-road Grêmio squad is flat-out value the market is sleeping on.