EPL, Ligue 1, and NFL — The Daily Card

The Chargers head into Arrowhead without Derwin James for a third consecutive game, gutting their secondary against Mahomes and company. Kansas City's defense is healthy and Mahomes is a full practice participant, giving the Chiefs a massive talent and health edge at home. Laying -7.5 with the best quarterback in football in a rivalry game where the opponent is shorthanded is exactly the kind of chalk I back without hesitation.

Everyone's sleeping on the Chargers in a division rivalry game, but the Chiefs are banged up — Rashee Rice is DNP/questionable with a hamstring/knee issue and Khalil Mack is sitting out, meaning KC's offense and pass rush are compromised. NBC Sports analysts even noted this matchup will be closer than the line suggests, and division games at Arrowhead have a way of tightening up in the fourth quarter. Give me the Chargers and that +7.5 cushion all day long!

The sheep will flood Monaco tickets because it's a big name, but these clowns are missing Balogun, Fati, Minamino, Teze, AND Coulibaly — that's half their attack and defensive spine wiped out. Lorient at home with their key injury returnees coming back is an absolute gift the public is too starry-eyed to see. Fade the brand, back the value — Lorient covers and the crowd cries.

Monaco is in red-hot form — bouncing PSG and Marseille in recent outings — while Lorient heads into this match short-handed, with a midfielder and a forward both listed as injury doubts. Getting the clearly superior side at plus-money (+100) on a -0.5 spread is a market inefficiency that The Sharp can't ignore.

Arsenal are travelling to the notoriously difficult City Ground without William Saliba (injured) and Hincapie, with Zubimendi also doubtful — a heavily compromised defensive unit for a side needing a big road result. Nottingham Forest's home fortress historically neutralises even elite opposition, and the +1.0 spread means Forest cover even in a narrow Arsenal win, making this a well-cushioned position against Arsenal's injury-weakened lineup.

Clemson is a blue-blood program hosting a FCS-level Charleston Southern squad at Death Valley, and even at 3-2 the Tigers still boast the roster talent and home-field edge to blow out inferior competition by 50+. Charleston Southern has no business being on the same field as an ACC program, and Dabo Swinney's teams routinely cover massive spreads in these cupcake tune-up games. Talent wins, and the talent gap here is a canyon — Clemson -43.5 is the obvious lock.

Stanford is a 2-4 dumpster fire that just got torched 58-7 by Notre Dame and 57-3 by Wake Forest — this program can barely score, let alone blow out anyone by 36! Everyone's writing off Elon as FCS cannon fodder, but a team that has been competitive all season and is getting 35.5 points against an offense that's averaging under 15 points in their last three losses is an absolute gift. The Cardinal have shown zero ability to put up monster scores this year, and Elon covers this inflated number all day long.

The sheep will pile on PSG because it's PSG — but Zaïre-Emery and Mayulu are out, Torres is doubtful, and Luis Enrique's side just lost to Monaco and drew with Lille. Strasbourg at the Stade de la Meinau with +1.5 as a cushion against a banged-up Parisian squad that can't even cover a home loss to Brest? The crowd is handing us free money — fade the brand, back the value.

Palmeiras enters on a DWDWW run and carry a dominant 17-8 H2H record over Atletico Paranaense all-time, including a 1-0 win in their most recent meeting. Atletico are missing both Benavídez and Claudinho to injury, weakening their attack, while Palmeiras' losses are limited to Paulinho and Jefté — manageable depth hits for a squad of their quality. At a pick'em line on the money line, getting Palmeiras with no spread is clean value given the form, injury edge, and historical dominance.

Indiana enters as a 6-0, top-5 program with zero starters ruled out, while Ohio State is missing starting OT Austin Siereveld and RB Ja'Kobi Jackson (354 rushing yards, 6 TDs on the season) — a significant personnel deficit for a team already carrying a season-opening loss. The Hoosiers are riding a 23-game winning streak at home in Bloomington with a motivated, healthy squad, making Indiana +3.0 an exceptional number to grab against a shorthanded Buckeye offense.