The sheep are blindly laying 11.5 points with a New Mexico squad that can't even confirm their own player Kevin Patton Jr. will suit up — a guy listed as questionable due to personal reasons is a massive red flag for a double-digit favorite. Meanwhile, Sam Houston is a battle-tested squad and getting nearly a touchdown-and-a-half is gift-wrapping value that the crowd is too lazy to recognize. Fade the Lobos, take the points, and let the public hold the bag.