The sheep are blindly backing San Diego while completely ignoring that the Nationals have a 29-28 record and are playing at home — a place where this lineup, headlined by James Wood, does real damage. Yes, Washington is banged up in the rotation, but so are the Padres, who are missing Musgrove on the 60-day IL. The crowd is overreacting to San Diego's marginally better record and forgetting that laying -1.5 on the road against a .500 home club is exactly the kind of sucker bet that makes faders rich.