The sheep are blindly laying juice on a Brewers squad as a ROAD favorite against a team playing at home — the public never learns. Houston's rotation is decimated (Brown, Blanco, Javier, McCullers all on IL), yet the market has already priced that in at -112 Milwaukee, meaning you're getting the Astros at plus-value while the crowd chases Milwaukee's shiny 33-20 record. Fade the recency bias, take the home dog — the public's obsession with Milwaukee's record is exactly the kind of lazy thinking that makes contrarians rich.