New Zealand impressed in their World Cup opener against Iran and sit level on points with Egypt, yet the market still prices them as a +148 underdog — a clear value overreaction. The All Whites are playing with momentum and confidence, while Egypt's form remains uncertain heading into this must-win Group G clash. At nearly 2.5-to-1 implied odds on a team that's already proven they can compete at this level, New Zealand home represents sharp value.