The crowd is drooling over Miami's 8-2 hot streak and piling on the Marlins like it's a sure thing — classic recency bias trap. Meanwhile, Colorado's Michael Lorenzen is a verified disaster at 3-9 with a 6.83 ERA, which means the books already priced in the Rockies being a mess, and yet Coors Field remains the great equalizer where no lead is safe and no hot team stays hot. Fading the trendy Miami pick and taking the Rockies at home — the public never learns that chasing hot streaks is how you go broke.