The public is blindly backing the Braves at -156 because they see a 52-37 record and stop thinking, but Atlanta's shutdown closer Robert Suarez (0.56 ERA) is sitting on the IL with an elbow injury — that pen just got a whole lot shakier. Meanwhile, the Pirates are scorching hot with 37 extra-base hits in their last 10 games and a .500 slugging clip, and the crowd never gives Pittsburgh credit until it's too late. Fade the Braves chalk, ride the Pirates at home.