The sheep are blindly backing Spain because they haven't conceded a goal yet — but tournament clean sheet streaks exist to be broken, and Belgium just dismantled the host nation USA 4-1 to get here. Nico Williams is a doubt, Spain is playing below their ceiling per their own press, and Kevin De Bruyne's Belgium has a legitimate upset pedigree that this juicy +125 price is criminally undervaluing. The crowd always chases the narrative; I'll take the value on Belgium while the public sleepwalks into Spain.