The crowd is piling on Argentina like it's 2022 all over again, but Spain — even with Yamal nursing a thigh injury — is the HOME side with a dynasty-level core and a -0.5 spread advantage that tells you Vegas isn't buying the Argentina hype either. Argentina has their own walking wounded with Romero, Paredes, and De Paul all carrying concerns heading into the final. The sheep are chasing back-to-back glory, but I'm fading the sentiment and riding La Roja — Spain gets their first World Cup title in 16 years and the crowd cries into their Messi jerseys.