Palmeiras enters on a DWDWW run and carry a dominant 17-8 H2H record over Atletico Paranaense all-time, including a 1-0 win in their most recent meeting. Atletico are missing both Benavídez and Claudinho to injury, weakening their attack, while Palmeiras' losses are limited to Paulinho and Jefté — manageable depth hits for a squad of their quality. At a pick'em line on the money line, getting Palmeiras with no spread is clean value given the form, injury edge, and historical dominance.