Arsenal are travelling to the notoriously difficult City Ground without William Saliba (injured) and Hincapie, with Zubimendi also doubtful — a heavily compromised defensive unit for a side needing a big road result. Nottingham Forest's home fortress historically neutralises even elite opposition, and the +1.0 spread means Forest cover even in a narrow Arsenal win, making this a well-cushioned position against Arsenal's injury-weakened lineup.