Cruzeiro enters this Derby Mineiro in superior form while Atlético Mineiro have dropped their last two matches, including a loss to Flamengo, and are missing forward Robert Santos to a cruciate injury. Cruzeiro edge Atlético in shot count and free-kick generation, and with a fully healthy squad, they carry clear value on the pick-em spread. Backing the hotter side in a rivalry game on a flat line is exactly where sharp money lives.