Everyone's piling on Dallas because Flagg is out and they're walking into Miami shorthanded — but the Heat are a miserable 0-3 on the season AND 0-3 against the spread, and 8.5 points is a LOT of chalk to lay on a team that can't cover a spread to save their lives. Dallas still has Washington, Gafford, and Risacher ready to scrap, and a desperate, motivated underdog against a flailing Heat squad is exactly the kind of spot where chalk gets torched.