Everyone wants to write Scotland off against Brazil, but Raphinha is OUT with a muscle injury, Estevão never made the squad, Wesley is hurt, and Militão is missing — Brazil is limping into this one! Scotland, playing in front of a raucous home crowd with a fully motivated squad, only needs to cover 1.5 goals, and a patchwork Brazilian side that may be resting eyes on the knockouts gives me all the confidence in the world. The Tartan Army doesn't know the word 'quit,' and neither do I — Scotland covers!

The entire world is blindly hammering Brazil here, but Raphinha is OUT with a hamstring injury and Neymar is just returning from a calf issue after missing two games — this is a patchwork attack walking into a desperate Scotland side. Meanwhile, Scotland just beat Curaçao and have McTominay leading a fired-up squad with nothing to lose in front of a pro-underdog crowd. The public sees 'Brazil' and stops thinking — I'm fading that lazy money all day on Scotland +1.5.

Brazil dismantled Haiti 3-0 in their last outing while Scotland are already on the ropes after a 1-0 loss to Morocco, making this a must-win pressure situation for Scotland against a vastly superior opponent. Brazil are missing Raphinha and Neymar is questionable, but Vinícius Jr. and a Paquetá-led attack are more than enough to cover -1.5 against a Scotland side that struggled to score in Group C. Getting Brazil at -1.5 on a flat -110 line against an outmatched opponent with their backs against the wall is pure value.