Duke enters at 6-2 and just obliterated Boston College 47-2, demonstrating elite offensive firepower heading into this ACC matchup. NC State sits at a mediocre 4-4 (2-3 ACC) and has eight players listed OUT on the injury report, leaving their roster depleted at home. With Duke's superior record, momentum, and comparable injury lists, laying -4.0 on the road against a team that cannot win its conference games is a clear situational edge.

The crowd is drooling over Duke after a 47-2 beatdown of BC, but those sheep aren't reading the injury report — the Blue Devils are hauling 10 players listed OUT into hostile Carter-Finley Stadium. NC State just put up 31 on Cal at home and is fighting for bowl eligibility, which means they'll be ready to play while Duke's walking wounded limp in overconfident. Fade the public, take the Wolfpack at home getting 4 points.